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Harvick the leading man, but we've seen this movie before


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FONTANA, CA - FEBRUARY 19: Kevin Harvick, driver of the #29 Shell/Pennzoil Chevrolet, looks on from pit road during qualifying for the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Auto Club 500 at Auto Club Speedway on February 19, 2010 in Fontana, California. (Photo by Rusty Jarrett/Getty Images for NASCAR)

Kevin Harvick is quite the hot topic in NASCAR these days. Not only is the former Daytona 500 champion in the final year of his contract with Richard Childress Racing, he has finished no worse than seventh in the first three races, and two of those, the season-opening Daytona 500 and the Sprint Cup circuit's second race in Fontana, California, he could have and should have won.

What a far cry from 2009, when Harvick became so frustrated with the lack of performance of his #29 Chevrolet and the RCR organization as a whole that he all but told Marty Smith he would be leaving the team in a much-publicized ESPN interview last fall.

Harvick's hot start has him on top of the NASCAR world, for now at least, as he leads the Sprint Cup standings. It is the third time Harvick has topped the standings, but the first time he has done so for more than one week. He held the top spot after his win in the 2007 season-opener at Daytona, of course, and before that after a win at Loudon in September in 2006.

Star-divide

It was that 2006 season in which Harvick found himself in a similar situation to the one he is now. In the final year of his contract and fresh off a tough season. He had won a race, at Bristol, during the 2005 season but otherwise was an afterthought, missing the Chase for the second-straight season and indicating late in the year, much like last year, that not even a strong upswing in performance would be enough to keep him in Childress's camp.

The rumor mill churned, with Harvick supposedly headed anywhere in 2007 from Roush Racing as Mark Martin's replacement to Team Red Bull as the Toyota upstart tried to launch its program.

Of course, Harvick ultimately remained in the #29 Chevrolet he had driven since being thrust into the limelight as Dale Earnhardt's untimely successor. A strong stretch during the late spring, including a win at Phoenix International Raceway and a dominant performance in Richmond in a race Harvick for all intents and purposes should have won, indeed was enough to get Harvick to ink a four-year extension.

After signing the deal, Harvick won four more races and came within a blown engine at Dover in September of being the series champion. He also ran full-time that year in what was then the NASCAR Busch Series for Childress and his own Kevin Harvick Incorporated team, winning nine races and trouncing the field en route to his second title in the second-tier circuit.

Many, including the writer of this story, predicted big things for Harvick in 2007, and he seemed poised to answer the expectations after he nipped Mark Martin to win the Daytona 500 exactly six years to the day that Earnhardt's death vacated the seat Harvick has become synonymous with.

Alas, it has not panned out. At all. Harvick has not won - aside from two wins in the pre-season Budweiser Shootout and a triumph in the 2007 All-Star Challenge, none of which count in the official record book - since the 2007 Daytona 500, and a solid 2008 campaign was sandwiched between seasons that could charitably be described as short of what the team hoped for.

Thus, here we are. The rumor mill churns once more, with Harvick's good friend Tony Stewart seemingly the front-runner to land his services should Harvick choose to part from RCR. Joe Gibbs Racing could be another player, though the long-time Chevy stalwart would probably appear as out of place in a Toyota as Stewart did in 2008.

There is even talk, in spite of past comments to the contrary by Harvick and his wife, Delana, that the KHI organization that they co-own could move into the Cup Series with Harvick as the driver.

It appears that ultimately, Harvick will have to choose whether to remain loyal to Childress, who gave him his big break with a full-time Busch Series ride in 2000, and continue to ride the roller coaster of momentum that seems to have the organization on top one season and playing catch-up the next, or to go for a more stable situation elsewhere. Stewart-Haas Racing, with its Hendrick Motorsports ties, is perhaps the most attractive destination short of Hendrick itself, which has no open seat right now.

What Harvick will do is uncertain, as he has remained coy and even cold on the subject since the Smith interview aired. His hot start would seemingly make it difficult to leave, but as stated, the Childress team seems to ride the most substantial momentum wave of any of the top teams in NASCAR. Still, it would be hard to walk away while on top.

Unless Harvick has already made the decision, regardless of how this season plays out, to part ways with Childress at the conclusion of the season and makes the announcement this spring, it will likely be a good while, with no clear-cut outcome, before we know what car the man affectionately known as Happy will be driving when the green flag drops on the 2011 season.

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You know if I remember correctly it was Earnhardt that 'discovered' Harvick

Earnhardt and Childress were watching him race one day and Earnhardt said to Childress that Harvick is the type of driver he wanted for DEI and Childress thought about it and promptly signed Harvick for his own team with the possibility of being Earnhardt’s successor when he retired. Although this is unconfirmed it is my belief that if Earnhardt had won the Championship in 2001 or 2002 he would have retired at the end of the season and Harvick would have been driving the 3 car in 2002 or 2003 instead of the 29 in 2001.

by 4ever3 on Mar 1, 2010 1:08 AM EST reply actions  

Thats the same thing I've heard

Earnhardt was high on Harvick, and he wanted he or Jeff Burton to be his successor when he retired. He also told Richard that if he wasn’t careful Kevin would be driving in Cup for DEI. I think it would have been neat to see how Harvick would have done with Earnhardt’s tuteladge for a long time.

by A_Rosser14 on Mar 1, 2010 2:29 AM EST reply actions  

Two options I think..

I really think this is going to boil down to two options – and in either case the Harvicks are going to have to bring the sponsors.

1) He runs full time in his new NCS #33 ride and gels with his team. This will allow him to really feel what it is like to run for a championship in a team he owns. We’ve already seen some of the frustration of this with his pit crew issues. Harvick can then bring them (minus the pit crew) and those sponsors up to Cup and signs a technology agreement with RCR. I really think he would have a good chance at making the chase in his first year of ownership as long as the money is behind him. A good year this year will help ensure that.

2) He joins his buddy at SHR and keep the stress lower not having to worry about owning and driving, but he will still feel very much connected to that side of the house. I could see KHI becoming almost a feeder for SHR.

Personally I’d love to see him at SHR because I think it would help Tony, not to mention that would be a fun dynamic to follow..

Just stumbled upon this SBNation site and added it to my list.. I’ll try to drop by occasionally.

Education is what you get from reading the directions. Experience is what you get from not reading them.

by snohio on Mar 1, 2010 10:28 AM EST reply actions  

harvick

good article aaron..i am so proud of you!!!!

by daniluvs14 on Mar 1, 2010 4:38 PM EST reply actions  

Hey Aaron

Getting a following here I see.

by 4ever3 on Mar 1, 2010 4:45 PM EST reply actions  

Oh wow what a great article! You don’t happen to tweet do you?

Anyway, i just wanted to say that I too have been seeing this comparison to when Happy was up for contract extension before. People were CERTAIN he was gone then with how vocal he was. But as time has passed I really think this could be one of Kevin’s bargaining chips. Last time it was motors that had him screaming to the rooftops and take a look at things now. ECR has great motors, so much so KHI just went back to them for their trucks. It seems when Kevin gets loud, he tends to get what he wants. I could see the same thing happening again as KHI and RCR really are very intertwined in a lot of ways. Just this last weekend during the NW race he was on the scanner screaming for Mike Dillon when the pit road woes cropped up, I’m assuming to help him find a new crew.

Now don’t get me wrong. I think Kevin’s threats to leave are definitely valid, ie if things don’t change he’d walk. But look at him now. RC would be a fool to let him go as he obviously still the #1 driver at RCR when everything’s running smoothly.

Anyway, just my 2 cents. Loved the article and I’ll definitely be checking back!

by Drusylla on Mar 1, 2010 8:04 PM EST reply actions  

It amazes me how much Childress racing as a whole moves up and down the

competitive scale; not just this year but for the last several years. I wonder how much Harvick has to do with that? When you look at Harvick’s career point finishes they tell a very strange story. 9th (with missing a race) in 2001, 21st in 2002, up to 5th in 2003, back to 14th in 2004 and 2005, rebounds to 4th in 2006 where he wins 5 races, falls back to 10th in 2007, climbs back up to 4th again in 2008, but tumbles to 19th last year before bouncing back this year. Harvick is just unpredictable.

"I have discovered in twenty years of moving around a ball park, that the knowledge of the game is usually in inverse proportion to the price of the seats." - Bill Veeck.

by RhodeIslandRoxfan on Mar 1, 2010 9:52 PM EST up reply actions  

Well the question is is it Kevin or is it the organization as a whole that causes that, cause it seems when Harvick runs well, the other cars do. Robby Gordon won two races, of course they were road course wins, but he was in the top 10 in points at one point in 2003, Harvick’s second strongest season behind 2006. And when Kevin struggles its part of a widespread deal, like in 2002 when they were 19th (Jeff Green actually the highest), 20th, and 21st and of course last year’s troubles.

by A_Rosser14 on Mar 2, 2010 12:31 AM EST up reply actions  

It's the Casey Mears effect

Mears joins the team, and all four do bad, this year no mears, and all three are in the top 10 in points.

by Troy J. on Mar 2, 2010 9:22 AM EST up reply actions  

Four teams might have contributed to the issue, but I feel strongly that Casey Mears is the most misused driver in NASCAR. Everyone acts like the guy’s a shmuck, he hasn’t had time to develop chemistry with one crew chief and one team. He had three crew chiefs last year and before that he had a different team every year from ‘05-’08.

He was solid and right on the verge of a breakout in the fall of ‘07, they scored I think the third most points of anyone in the Chase, after their teammates the 48 and 24, but with Earnhardt, Jr. and Eury going over there, they split up Casey’s team that had been together a year instead of putting the group that had worked on the 5 car on the 88. Completely screwed Casey over.

by A_Rosser14 on Mar 2, 2010 5:34 PM EST up reply actions  

You make a good case for Casey Mears but I just can't buy it

This guy has had rides with Ganassi, Hendrick, and Childress and has failed in every single one of them. In 252 starts with those three teams he only won once and that was on fuel mileage. You would think that just once he might have hit it off with a crew chief and finished higher than 14th in the points.

And while he was doing better at the end of 2007 he wasn’t doing that well. He scored 1251 points in the Chase that year and at least 6 driver (Johnson, Gordon, Bowyer, Ky. Busch, Kenseth, and Biffle) including all of his teammates scored more than that.

"Baseball, it is said, is only a game. True. And the Grand Canyon is only a hole in Arizona." - George F. Will

by RhodeIslandRoxfan on Mar 2, 2010 9:31 PM EST up reply actions  

You blame not geling with crew chiefs? Matt Kenseth wins the first two races with Drew Blickensderfer. Tony Stewart has a great first year with Darian Grubb, So on and so on. Now your just making excuses. Mears jumps into the 5 team, a team that made the chase, and fails. Mark Martin jumps into the 5 team and finishes second in points. Mears jumps into the 07 team, a team that made the chase, and fails. Maybe the problem isn’t the crew chiefs. Alan Gustafson is a great crew chief. Mears is the problem. And now he can’t make a race.

by Troy J. on Mar 3, 2010 11:47 AM EST up reply actions  

Its all about Chemistry. The 07 car was the best of the RCR bunch, granted that still wasn’t spectacular, but he had some solid runs when Todd Berrier was on his pit box. Casey and Grubb had a good chemistry. Casey and Jimmy Elledge were on the verge of something big, I mean they had their last race together, Homestead in ‘05, won until the last caution flag and it wasn’t a gimme either, but that was already destined to be split up since he was moving to the 42.

by A_Rosser14 on Mar 3, 2010 7:39 PM EST up reply actions  

First off thank you very much for the kind words on my article! And yes I do tweet. @RedChevy14

Kevin does have a way of using temper and increased volume to get his way. I was listening to his scanner this weekend too (quite the listening, huh?) and I thought it was interesting when he asked Billy if Mike was around.

Honestly, I think even if they keep the performance up this year, he’ll still be on the move. He’s not stupid, he knows how things go up and down and I think he wants stability. SHR could potentially provide that, at least in the performance department. With three jokers like Stewart, Newman, and Harvick on board, there’d be no stability in the shop or garage area, haha.

by A_Rosser14 on Mar 2, 2010 12:35 AM EST up reply actions  

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